Superforecaster
Definition, Meaning & Examples
Part of speech noun
Quick meaning: Superforecaster is a noun meaning One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy.
Meaning
One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy.
Example Sentences
On average, when a forecaster did well enough in year 1 to become a superforecaster, and was put on a superforecaster team in year 2, that person became 50% more accurate.
The superforecasters turned out to outperform the other contestants by a substantial margin in the second and third years of the tournament, that is, they were not just lucky.
An important lesson taught by the gaming approach to warfare is that the superforecaster must be always open to 'unknown unknowns', to use the decision-theoretic jargon popularized by US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld during the Iraq war.
Word Forms
- superforecasters
Related Words
Related dictionary entries include forecaster, overpredictor, prognosticator, weather-prophet, weatherperson, foreteller.
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Sources & Attribution
FreeDictionaryAPI.com / Wiktionary · Original source · CC BY-SA 4.0
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